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A Note on the Solution of Rational Expectations Models with One Future Variable

Erdal Atukeren, Erkan Yalcin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In this note, we propose a short-cut to the solution of linear rational expectations models with one future variable. We take a version of Cagan's (1956) hyperinflation model as a case study. Our solution makes use of the martingale property that given the information set at time t-1, the rational expectation of a variable formed under this set will be the same for time t and for time t+1. This result can also be derived from the error orthogonality property of the rational expectations models. This short-cut might also prove useful in simplifying the econometric estimation of rational expectations models similar in structure to Cagan's (1956) hyperinflation model.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)74-76
JournalInternational Research Journal of Finance and Economics
Volume13
Issue number13
Publication statusPublished - 2008

Keywords

  • Macroeconomics (incl Monetary and Fiscal Theory)
  • Macroeconomic Theory

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